Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
11/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Vinter
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Vinter
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3032
Shots off target
1410
Shooting PCT
6.67% (2/30)9.38% (3/32)
Blocked Shots
1315
Goalkeeper Saves
2928
Saves PCT
90.63% (29/32)93.33% (28/30)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
1922
Faceoffs Won
3724
Faceoffs %
60.6639.34
Giveaways
1613
Takeaways
102
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:31, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 11:46, Dellandrea T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 14:33, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), McCabe J. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:58, Klingberg J. (2 min),
  • 14:04, Celebrini M. (2 min),
  • 14:32, 2 - 0, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 15:31, 2 - 1, Orlov D. (G), Klingberg J. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 06:28, Joshua D. (2 min),
  • 09:03, Dellandrea T. (2 min),
  • 18:35, 2 - 2, Klingberg J. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Gaudette A. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:49, 2 - 3, Wennberg A. (G), Eklund W. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
52.8%
Draw
21.1%
San Jose Sharks
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 19.5% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 19.3% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.59)
    4.56
    (4.85)
    3.64
    (4.48)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Sharks will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) McMann B. (Suspended) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury) Woll J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Desharnais V. (Upper-Body Injury) Ellis R. (Back Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Askarov Y. (Illness)
    • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 61:64. (average 3.1:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks were as follows:
    27.03.2025 San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:5
    03.03.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks 2:3
    09.01.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks 7:1
    06.01.2024 San Jose Sharks - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    30.11.2022 Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks 3:1
    Latest results of San Jose Sharks
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
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    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights582171416197:18370
    5Anaheim Ducks571912323191:20065
    6Utah Mammoth58237424185:16164
    7Edmonton Oilers59217823203:20064
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings571491420150:16760
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Winnipeg Jets57203826163:17754
    13Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks58126733151:21343


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

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