Result
3:1
15/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.5% (3/40) | 5% (1/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95% (19/20) | 94.87% (37/39) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.26 | 40.74 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 05:44, Haymes L. (2 min),
- 06:04, 1 - 0, Batherson D. (G), Giroux C. (A), Spence J. (A2)
- 18:53, Zub A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:51, Greig R. (2 min),
- 16:38, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 18:31, 2 - 0, Foegele W. (G), Thomson L. (A), Zetterlund F. (A2)
- 19:37, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:11, 2 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Quillan J. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
- 19:54, 3 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Pinto S. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ottawa Senators
51.9% | Draw
21.4% | Toronto Maple Leafs
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ottawa Senators's form might have worsened.Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Maple Leafs's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.61) |
4.4 ↓
(4.77) |
3.49 ↓
(4.97) |
6%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Ottawa is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 3.
- Ottawa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ottawa is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 72:57. (average 3.6:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 3.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Ottawa Senators has won 17 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Ottawa Senators?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 12 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
21.03.2026
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
28.02.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
2:5
27.12.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
7:5
23.09.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
2:3
21.09.2025
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:4
Latest results of Ottawa Senators
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
