Result
2:3
03/10/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.9% (2/29) | 10.34% (3/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.66% (26/29) | 93.1% (27/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.08 | 56.92 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 18:51, 0 - 1, Chabot T. (G), Giroux C. (A), Pinto S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:33, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Rielly M. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
- 06:40, Giroux C. (2 min),
- 07:06, 2 - 1, Marchenko K. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
- 10:01, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 12:40, 2 - 2, Amadio M. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
- 14:44, Marchenko K. (2 min),
- 17:48, Stutzle T. (2 min),
- 20:00, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 20:00, Pinto S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:52, Kleven T. (2 min),
- 07:46, Marchenko K. (2 min),
- 09:48, 2 - 3, Halliday S. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
- 09:52, Roslovic J. (2 min),
- 14:20, Eklund W. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.3% | Draw
22.7% | Ottawa Senators
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.18) |
4.17 ↓
(4.31) |
2.5 ↓
(2.93) |
5.7%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Toronto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
- Ottawa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
- Toronto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
- The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
- Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury).
- Confirmed absences for Ottawa: Greig R.
(Suspended)
MacDermid K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Zub A.
(Injury).
- Doubtful / questionable for Ottawa: Sanderson J.
(Injury).
- Our forecast points to a victory for Toronto in today's match, at odds of 2.29.
- In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:65 (averaging 3:3.3 goals per game).
- Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 33:35 goals (averaging 3.3:3.5 per game).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Ottawa Senators?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 14 of their last 32 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Ottawa Senators has won 18 of their last 32 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
23.09.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
6:1
23.09.2026
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:4
15.04.2026
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
21.03.2026
Ottawa Senators
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
28.02.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Ottawa Senators
2:5
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Ottawa Senators
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:16 | 7 |
| 2 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 3 | Utah Mammoth | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Minnesota Wild | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Colorado Avalanche | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Anaheim Ducks | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 8 | San Jose Sharks | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Kraken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Vancouver Canucks | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 4 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 12 | St. Louis Blues | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 13 | Dallas Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 2 |
| 14 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:17 | 2 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Kings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9:15 | 1 |
| 16 | Calgary Flames | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:16 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 |
| 2 | Florida Panthers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:12 | 5 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 8 | Washington Capitals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 4 |
| 9 | Boston Bruins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Montreal Canadiens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:14 | 3 |
| 12 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 2 |
| 13 | New York Islanders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 |
| 14 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 2 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 16 | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:17 | 2 |
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