Birmingham City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
4:0
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 14
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.12
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
83% (427/514)75% (273/365)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.480.10
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
81
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
201
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
123
Passes
83% (427/514)75% (273/365)
Long passes
33% (18/55)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
65% (88/136)60% (55/92)
Crosses
13% (2/15)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.16
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
312
Tackles
90% (9/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3937
Clearances
2631
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.102.48
Goals prevented
0.10-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 3 - 0, Cochrane A. ⚽,
  • 57', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
  • 59', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
  • 59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
  • 71', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
  • 72', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
  • 72', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
  • 79', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
  • 79', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 79', Mitchell B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
  • 89', Doyle T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
53%		Draw
26.5%		Millwall
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 26.8% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 28.5% 23.3%

Birmingham City - Millwall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.81 ↓
(1.95)		 3.57 ↑
(3.53)		 4.57 ↑
(3.81)		 5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 36.9% – 74.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Millwall (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Millwall (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Birmingham (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millwall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Millwall were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Millwall - Birmingham City 1:0
    02.09.2023 Birmingham City - Millwall 1:1
    18.04.2023 Millwall - Birmingham City 0:1
    02.11.2022 Birmingham City - Millwall 0:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Millwall
    01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Millwall - West Bromwich Albion 3:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke321271334:29543
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton311091230:38-839
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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