Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Shinnik
35.3%
Draw
30.7%
Arsenal Tula
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 31.4% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 31.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Shinnik - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.94)
    3.09
    (3.03)
    2.8
    (2.62)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 1:1
    20.04.2025 Shinnik - Arsenal Tula 2:1
    26.10.2024 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 1:1
    25.05.2024 Shinnik - Arsenal Tula 1:0
    17.09.2023 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 2:0
    Latest results of Shinnik
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    05.04.2026 Arsenal Tula - Fakel 1:2
    15.03.2026 Ural - Arsenal Tula 2:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh28185535:161959
    2Rodina Moscow281510348:242455
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

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