Result
1:3
14/03/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 26
- Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Martinho da Silva E. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Petkov M. ⚽,
- 31', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Tindano Z. ↓, Hein B. ↑,
- 60', Martinho da Silva E. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguez E. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Smolenski M. ⚽,
- 75', Hein B. ↓, Kwateng E. ↑,
- 76', Smolenski M. ↓, Sanyang S. ↑,
- 76', Gallegos J. ↓, Naydenov V. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Sanyang S. ⚽,
- 85', Petkov M. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
- 85', Tsonev R. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
- 90', Yurukov I. ↓, Boyanov L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botev Plovdiv 54.6% | Draw 27.4% | Botev Vratsa 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Plovdiv's performance.Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Vratsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Vratsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.05) |
3.36 ↑ (3.15) |
5.21 ↑ (3.63) |
7.3% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 50.9% – 95.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botev Plovdiv will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 5.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Botev Plovdiv is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Plovdiv won against Botev Vratsa?
Botev Plovdiv has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Vratsa won against Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa were as follows:
05.10.2025
Botev Vratsa
-
Botev Plovdiv
1:2
23.11.2024
Botev Plovdiv
-
Botev Vratsa
3:1
21.07.2024
Botev Vratsa
-
Botev Plovdiv
1:3
12.04.2024
Botev Plovdiv
-
Botev Vratsa
2:0
21.10.2023
Botev Vratsa
-
Botev Plovdiv
3:5
Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
Latest results of Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 60:19 | 41 | 65 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Arda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21:37 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:45 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )