Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
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greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
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japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
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mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
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polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
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romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.15
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
78% (270/347)87% (420/481)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.53
Total shots
617
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
913
Passes
78% (270/347)87% (420/481)
Long passes
49% (30/61)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
51% (35/68)79% (104/131)
Crosses
20% (3/15)42% (13/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.71
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
139
Tackles
62% (16/26)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5548
Clearances
3215
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.530.67
Goals prevented
0.530.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Baleba C. 🟨,
  • 20', Pereira V. 🟥,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Verbruggen B. (Own goal), Munetsi M. (A),
  • 36', Dunk L. 🟨,
  • 43', Wieffer M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Welbeck D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Baleba C. , Rutter G. ,
  • 51', Bueno S. 🟨,
  • 61', Hwang Hee-Chan , Agbadou E. ,
  • 70', Gruda B. , Tzimas S. ,
  • 71', Wieffer M. , De Cuyper M. ,
  • 77', Larsen J. S. , Bellegarde J. ,
  • 77', Bueno S. , Wolfe D. M. ,
  • 77', Gomez D. , Milner J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, van Hecke J. P. , Tzimas S. (A),
  • 90+1', Munetsi M. , Arokodare T. ,
  • 90+1', Joao Gomes , Mosquera Y. ,
  • 90+7', Andre 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.4%
Draw
27.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 25.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 25.5% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.55)
    3.53
    (3.68)
    2.1
    (2.01)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 42.1%72.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Wolverhampton (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.
    • Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Brighton & Hove will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Veltman J. (Calf Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Toti (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2
    26.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:2
    18.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:2
    28.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0
    22.01.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:0
    Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal861115:31219
    2Manchester City851217:61116
    3Liverpool850314:11315
    4Bournemouth843114:11315
    5Chelsea842216:9714
    6Tottenham842214:7714
    7Sunderland84229:6314
    8Crystal Palace834112:8413
    9Manchester Utd841311:12-113
    10Brighton833212:11112
    11Aston Villa83328:8012
    12Everton83239:9011
    13Brentford831411:12-110
    14Newcastle82337:709
    15Fulham82248:12-48
    16Leeds82247:13-68
    17Burnley82159:15-67
    18Nottingham81255:15-105
    19West Ham81166:18-124
    20Wolves80265:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship