Result
1:1
07/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 1 Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League 3, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (505/578) | 78% (298/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (505/578) | 78% (298/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (145/183) | 47% (28/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Dunk L. 🟨,
- 41', Gross P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Haaland E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Mitoma K. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),
- 60', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
- 60', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
- 64', Nico ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 69', Mitoma K. 🟨,
- 73', Foden P. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
- 73', Ake N. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
- 73', Nunes M. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
- 77', Rutter G. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
- 77', Gomez D. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
- 83', Mitoma K. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 83', Ayari Y. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
- 89', Watson T. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/tzx9v7rx
Chances of winning
Manchester City
63.4% | Draw
20.6% | Brighton & Hove Albion
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.41) |
4.65 ↓
(5.31) |
5.98 ↓
(6.55) |
4.8%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion?
Users Predictions:
93 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 84 - 90.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 84.3% – 96.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Brighton & Hove (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 37 - 84.1%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 2.
- Man City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brighton & Hove has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R.
(International duty)
Bobb O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dias R.
(Thigh Injury)
Gvardiol J.
(Broken Leg)
Kovacic M.
(Heel Injury)
Marmoush O.
(International duty)
Stones J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C.
(International duty)
March S.
(Knee Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
Wieffer M.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Man City: Savinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Minteh Y.
(Thigh Injury)
- We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Man City won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:15. (average 2.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Manchester City?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
31.08.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Manchester City
2:1
15.03.2025
Manchester City
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2:2
09.11.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Manchester City
2:1
25.04.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Manchester City
0:4
21.10.2023
Manchester City
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2:1
Latest results of Manchester City
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
