Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade du Moustoir (Lorient).

Ligue 1 - Round 10
Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.23	1.42
Ball Possession
22%	78%
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
0	8
Passes
72% (166/229)	93% (774/832)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.23	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.41	1.74
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
0	8
Touches in opposition box
9	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
13	5
Passes
72% (166/229)	93% (774/832)
Long passes
37% (20/54)	73% (30/41)
Passes in final third
63% (48/76)	90% (355/396)
Crosses
0% (0/8)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.16	1.75
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
5	13
Tackles
68% (13/19)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
41	34
Clearances
28	16
Interceptions
12	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	1
xGOT faced
1.74	0.41
Goals prevented
0.74	-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mbaye I. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
46', Ndjantou Q. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Mendes N. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Igor Silva ⚽,
62', Dembele O. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
63', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
68', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
68', Pagis P. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
69', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
69', Karim D. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
77', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
77', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
90+2', Cadiou N. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
90+5', Barcola B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lorient
9.6%

Draw
15.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

19%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

18.2%

71.3%

Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (7.6)	5.98 ↑ (5.03)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). PSG will win (votes: 36 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 80.7% – 99.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
Lorient has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.
In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Lorient: Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (Rest)
There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:46. (average 0.9:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Lorient has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Lorient?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

24.04.2024 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4

12.08.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient 0:0

06.11.2022 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2

Latest results of Lorient

26.10.2025 Angers - Lorient 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Lorient - Brest 3:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

25.10.2025 Brest - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3 ✺

21.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain 2:7 ✺

17.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg 3:3 ✺

05.10.2025 Lille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	12	8	3	1	24:11	13	27
2	Marseille	12	8	1	3	28:11	17	25
3	Lens	12	8	1	3	21:11	10	25
4	Strasbourg	12	7	1	4	24:16	8	22
5	Lille	12	6	2	4	23:15	8	20
6	Monaco	12	6	2	4	24:21	3	20
7	Lyon	12	6	2	4	18:15	3	20
8	Rennes	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18
9	Nice	12	5	2	5	17:18	-1	17
10	Toulouse	12	4	4	4	18:16	2	16
11	Paris FC	12	4	2	6	18:21	-3	14
12	Le Havre	12	3	5	4	13:17	-4	14
13	Angers	12	3	4	5	10:15	-5	13
14	Metz	12	3	2	7	12:27	-15	11
15	Brest	12	2	4	6	14:21	-7	10
16	Nantes	12	2	4	6	11:18	-7	10
17	Lorient	12	2	4	6	14:26	-12	10
18	Auxerre	12	2	1	9	7:19	-12	7

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2