Result
1:0
10/10/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 International | OneFootball TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/467) | 90% (630/698) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/467) | 90% (630/698) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 68% (19/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (54/77) | 77% (163/212) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 13% (4/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.22 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 58', Chergui S. 🟨,
- 58', Traore H. 🟨,
- 65', Camara A. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 65', Kebbal I. ↓, Zabi P. ↑,
- 66', Chergui S. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 66', Kone M. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 66', Jensen I. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Bernardeau G. ⚽, Makengo J. (A),
- 70', Talbi M. 🟨,
- 74', Zabi P. 🟨,
- 78', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 78', Georgen A. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 86', Sinayoko L. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 87', Toure I. ↓, Obaretin N. ↑,
- 90+2', Lopez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
25.1% | Draw
28.9% | Paris FC
46% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Lorient - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(2.99) |
3.32 ↓
(3.43) |
2.08 ↓
(2.32) |
4.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Paris FC will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 72.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
- In recent outings, Lorient has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
- Paris FC is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
- A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paris FC holding a narrow advantage.
- Confirmed absences for Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Katseris P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mbamba N.
(Muscle Injury).
- Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Sangui N.
(Muscle Injury).
- In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lorient has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:11 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
- Specifically in home fixtures for Lorient against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Paris FC?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lorient?
Paris FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Paris FC were as follows:
05.04.2026
Lorient
-
Paris FC
1:1
04.02.2026
Lorient
-
Paris FC
2:0
03.10.2025
Paris FC
-
Lorient
2:0
08.03.2025
Paris FC
-
Lorient
3:2
14.12.2024
Lorient
-
Paris FC
2:0
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
