Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (386/445) | 87% (387/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (386/445) | 87% (387/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (78/104) | 82% (138/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Camara A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
- 67', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 71', Ikone J. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
- 71', Geubbels W. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 71', Lopez M. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
- 71', Camara A. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 72', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 72', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Munetsi M. ⚽,
- 80', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 82', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
- 86', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Simon M. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lorient
39.7% | Draw
29.2% | Paris FC
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Lorient - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.28) |
3.25 ↓
(3.29) |
3.07 ↓
(3.18) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 24.9% – 69.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3.
- Recent performances by Lorient have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paris FC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lorient is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bamba M.
(Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Krasso J.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez J.
(Back Injury)
Marchetti V.
(Lower Back Injury)
Matondo R.
(Red Card)
Riou R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Paris FC?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lorient?
Paris FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Paris FC were as follows:
04.02.2026
Lorient
-
Paris FC
2:0
03.10.2025
Paris FC
-
Lorient
2:0
08.03.2025
Paris FC
-
Lorient
3:2
14.12.2024
Lorient
-
Paris FC
2:0
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
