Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 8
- Referee: Funder S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/470) | 83% (350/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/470) | 83% (350/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (89/128) | 71% (75/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Poulsen N. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Jorgensen T. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 2, Arnstad K. (Pen),
- 30', Beijmo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Sondergaard M. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
- 61', Bidstrup H. ↓, Kuzmic S. ↑,
- 61', Nouck C. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 63', Yakob K. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 63', Gronning J. 🟨,
- 69', Gronning J. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 72', Kahl E. 🟨,
- 75', Mbom J. 🟨,
- 77', Bech T. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 77', Beijmo F. ↓, Dalsgaard H. ↑,
- 84', Jalal S. ↓, Hanza D. ↑,
- 87', Mortensen P. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 87', Carstensen R. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 90+4', Arnstad K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Viborg
24.6% | Draw
27.9% | AGF Aarhus
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Viborg - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(3.41) |
3.58 ↓
(3.64) |
2.07 ↑
(2.04) |
0.2%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Viborg - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Viborg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 1.
- Viborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aarhus is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarhus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Viborg: Bundgaard O.
(Knee Injury)
Njoh Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Viborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Viborg won against AGF Aarhus?
Viborg has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Viborg?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Viborg - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
09.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Viborg
1:1
06.10.2024
Viborg
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
04.02.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Viborg
2:1
12.11.2023
AGF Aarhus
-
Viborg
2:0
01.10.2023
Viborg
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Aarhus | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Brondby | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Randers FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Viborg | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Vejle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
