Result
0:0
26/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 7 |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/359) | 71% (193/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/359) | 71% (193/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/142) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Serra J. ↓, Mortensen P. ↑,
- 58', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Franculino ↑,
- 58', Osorio D. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 59', Franculino 🟨,
- 69', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
- 70', Andersen J. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 90+1', Gogorza M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Knudsen M. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
37.3% | Draw
28.7% | Midtjylland
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.39) |
3.27 ↓
(3.6) |
2.77 ↑
(2.6) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Midtjylland (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Midtjylland (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Midtjylland (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.
- In recent matches, Aarhus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Midtjylland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Carstensen R.
(Inactive)
Solbakken M.
(Inactive)
Tchamche S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Djabi A.
(Health problems)
Junior Brumado
(Ribs Injury)
Uhre M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Midtjylland?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against AGF Aarhus?
Midtjylland has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland were as follows:
20.04.2026
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
08.03.2026
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
12.02.2026
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
0:1
03.11.2025
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
03.08.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
0:0
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Midtjylland
Danish Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 67:30 | 37 | 58 |
| 2 | Aarhus | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Nordsjaelland | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 46:44 | 2 | 45 |
| 4 | Viborg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 43 |
| 5 | Brondby | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
