Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 22
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.352.01
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
14
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
15
Passes
82% (305/372)84% (435/519)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.352.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.23
Total shots
811
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1612
Passes
82% (305/372)84% (435/519)
Long passes
38% (20/53)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
65% (47/72)72% (127/177)
Crosses
31% (4/13)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.94
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
1216
Tackles
54% (7/13)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
2.230.10
Goals prevented
0.23-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Bengtsson L. (A),
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Milic A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jagiello F. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
  • 51', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Stepinski M. ⚽, Dlugosz W. (A),
  • 64', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
  • 64', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
  • 70', Cebula M. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
  • 80', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
  • 80', Rodriguez P. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
  • 83', Antonin ↓, Nono ↑,
  • 86', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Walemark P. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
35%		Draw
27.2%		Lech Poznań
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 29.2% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
    •

    Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.65 ↓
    (3.16)    		 3.42 ↑
    (3.06)    		 2.5 ↑
    (2.1)    		 7%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lech (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
    • Korona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Korona: Resta P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Lisman K. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Surgery)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1
    05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0
    29.09.2024 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 2:3
    25.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:2
    02.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:1
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    13.02.2026 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce 1:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Vojvodina Canceled
    20.01.2026 Korona Kielce - Dynamo Kyiv 0:0
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    19.02.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice 3:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań 1:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia22108439:261338
    2Zaglebie23108537:271038
    3Lech Poznan23108540:34638
    4Gornik Zabrze23104933:31234
    5Rakow23104931:29234
    6Cracovia2389629:25433
    7Wisla Plock2389624:20433
    8Pogon Szczecin23941033:35-231
    9Korona Kielce2386927:26130
    10GKS Katowice22931031:32-130
    11Motor Lublin2379732:37-530
    12Radomiak Radom2278737:34329
    13Piast Gliwice23851026:28-229
    14Lechia Gdansk2396846:45128
    15Arka Gdynia22751021:38-1726
    16Legia23510827:29-225
    17Widzew Lodz23731329:33-424
    18Termalica B-B23571127:40-1322

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          Relegation ~ Division 1

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