Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 19
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (575/666) | 71% (184/260) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 69 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (575/666) | 71% (184/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (167/206) | 60% (50/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 2, Milic A. (Own goal),
- 55', 1 - 3, Bobcek T. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
- 63', Jagiello F. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 63', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 63', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 76', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 79', Mena C. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 85', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
- 85', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 88', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
- 90', Palma L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
52.1% | Draw
24% | Lechia Gdańsk
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.7) |
3.92 ↓
(3.98) |
3.94 ↓
(4.03) |
6.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Lechia (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lechia (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 40%). Lechia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lechia has had a series of home games.
- Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Ouma T.
(Yellow Cards)
Thordarson G.
(Injury)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Lechia: Kapic R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Lech Poznań?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
26.07.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Lech Poznań
3:4
09.02.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Lech Poznań
1:0
03.08.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:1
03.03.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Lechia Gdańsk
5:0
31.08.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 55:41 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39:45 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Legia | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
