Santa Marta Tormes vs Atlético Palencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Santa Marta Tormes
44.6%
Draw
29.4%
Atlético Palencia
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 29.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.6% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.14)
    3.09
    (3.1)
    3.5
    (3.35)
    10%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 1.
    • Recent performances by Santa Marta Tormes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Palencia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santa Marta Tormes could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes 2:1
    20.04.2025 Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia 2:0
    06.12.2024 Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes 1:1
    18.02.2024 Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia 1:1
    30.09.2023 Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tordesillas33246362:204278
    2Guijuelo33207650:262467
    3Palencia CA33205846:232365
    4Santa Marta Tormes33187852:302261
    5Palencia CF331941055:381761
    6Mansilles331511730:26456
    7Almazan3312111048:371147
    8Mirandes B331281339:33644
    9La Virgen331281330:35-544
    10Villaralbo331191327:33-642
    11Leonesa B331251637:42-541
    12Arandina339101432:44-1237
    13Colegios Diocesanos331061732:52-2036
    14Bembibre338101537:48-1134
    15Unionistas B335131531:43-1228
    16CD Mojados336101726:54-2828
    17Becerril33681939:60-2126
    18Numancia B33662126:55-2924

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation