Saint George vs Arba Minch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
32
Total shots
106
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Tsega K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Saint George
44%
Draw
32.1%
Arba Minch
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 32% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint George that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Saint George - Arba Minch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.08)
    2.84
    (2.88)
    3.8
    (3.88)
    9.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 3.
    • In recent matches, Saint George has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arba Minch is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Saint George could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint George - Arba Minch were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Arba Minch - Saint George 0:0
    03.11.2024 Saint George - Arba Minch 1:0
    06.11.2022 Saint George - Arba Minch 1:1
    Latest results of Saint George
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna21109226:111539
    2Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    3Hawassa21106524:131136
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2189416:13333
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric21610511:11028
    8Bahir Dar Kenema21512415:15027
    9Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    10Shire Endaselassie2268815:16-126
    11Ethiopia Bunna2075817:20-326
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopian Insurance2259816:17-124
    15Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    16Sheger Ketema22412618:21-324
    17Welwalo Adigrat2259816:23-724
    18Welayta Dicha21410722:24-222
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    20Arba Menche21210913:23-1016

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation