Arba Minch vs Ethiopian Medhin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats


Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	3
Corner kicks
5	6
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	7
Corner kicks
5	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Gezahegn W. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Erbo A. ⚽, Kassaye Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Arba Minch
27.3%

Draw
34.9%

Ethiopian Medhin
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arba Minch's form might have worsened.

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-3%)

Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.81)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	9.5% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of home games.
Ethiopian Medhin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Ethiopian Medhin?

Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopian Medhin won against Arba Minch?

Ethiopian Medhin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin were as follows:

08.11.2025 Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch 0:0

03.05.2025 Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin 0:2

25.09.2024 Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch 0:0

03.04.2023 Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch 2:1

05.10.2022 Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin 3:4

Latest results of Arba Minch

10.03.2026 Adama City - Arba Minch 0:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Arba Minch - Ethio Electric 1:4 ✺

27.02.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch 0:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Ethiopian Medhin

09.03.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City 0:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema 0:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
      Relegation