Result
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Chances of winning
Kairat
46.8% | Draw
30.2% | Aktobe
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kairat - Aktobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.51) |
3.03 ↑
(2.76) |
3.97 ↑
(3.31) |
9.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kairat - Aktobe?
Users Predictions:
Kairat will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kairat will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2.
- Kairat is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aktobe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kairat is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:26. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:11. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Aktobe?
Kairat has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Kairat?
Aktobe has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Aktobe were as follows:
30.05.2025
Aktobe
-
Kairat
1:2
22.02.2025
Kairat
-
Aktobe
2:0
04.10.2024
Aktobe
-
Kairat
2:1
20.04.2024
Kairat
-
Aktobe
1:3
06.08.2023
Aktobe
-
Kairat
4:2
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Tobol | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 37:19 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 31 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Turan | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 16:42 | -26 | 16 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14:40 | -26 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
