Result
2:0
03/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Everton ⚽,
- 12', Alvarez P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Nani 🟨,
- 59', Everton ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
- 66', Leo Natel ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 71', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Pibe ↑,
- 71', Kenesov A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
- 74', Naumets V. 🟨,
- 78', Capatina M. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
- 78', Astanov E. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
- 84', Zhukov G. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
- 90+2', Antic N. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Amir Z. ⚽, Naumets V. (A),
Chances of winning
Ordabasy
50% | Draw
27.1% | Aktobe
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-17.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Aktobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.68) |
3.36 ↑
(2.87) |
3.99 ↑
(2.73) |
9.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 0.
- Ordabasy has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aktobe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ordabasy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ordabasy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Aktobe?
Ordabasy has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Ordabasy?
Aktobe has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Aktobe were as follows:
26.10.2025
Aktobe
-
Ordabasy
2:2
01.03.2025
Ordabasy
-
Aktobe
0:0
25.08.2024
Ordabasy
-
Aktobe
1:1
18.05.2024
Aktobe
-
Ordabasy
0:0
08.05.2024
Ordabasy
-
Aktobe
1:2
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
