Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 15
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.81
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
71% (280/396)64% (210/328)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.90
Total shots
188
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
185
Passes
71% (280/396)64% (210/328)
Long passes
48% (44/92)32% (25/79)
Passes in final third
47% (49/104)48% (48/101)
Crosses
21% (4/19)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.22
Throw-ins
3225
Fouls
518
Tackles
94% (16/17)64% (14/22)
Duels won
6260
Clearances
1551
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.901.88
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Mabete F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Palmer O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Norman C. 🟨,
  • 57', Jennings C. 🟨,
  • 61', Jennings C. , Davison J. ,
  • 61', Kenneh N. , Dennis K. ,
  • 61', Ironside J. , Harris T. ,
  • 64', Murphy A. , Bodin B. ,
  • 64', Mabete F. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 64', Knight-Lebel J. , Tafazolli R. ,
  • 67', Finley S. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ,
  • 76', Nichols T. , Ball J. ,
  • 81', Palmer O. , Delaney R. ,
  • 87', Finley S. , Joseph J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Dennis K. ,
  • 89', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Patrick O. , Lowe J. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Munroe F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
48.6%
Draw
26.2%
Tranmere Rovers
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.1% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 26.9% 23.8%

Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(1.89)
3.6
(3.57)
3.74
(3.8)
6.4%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    01.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:1
    27.02.2024 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    23.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 2:1
    10.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town 1:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley29178452:312159
    2Notts Co29166744:291554
    3Cambridge Utd28158538:221653
    4Swindon29164947:341352
    5Salford29164941:35652
    6MK Dons29149656:312551
    7Walsall29147837:28949
    8Chesterfield291112646:39745
    9Grimsby28128841:32944
    10Crewe301281046:38844
    11Barnet291110837:30743
    12Accrington291271035:30543
    13Colchester28119841:311042
    14Gillingham28911838:35338
    15Fleetwood281071137:37037
    16Oldham27811828:26235
    17Tranmere29881342:49-732
    18Cheltenham28931627:48-2130
    19Bristol Rovers29831826:47-2127
    20Crawley29681532:47-1526
    21Barrow27661528:42-1424
    22Shrewsbury28581523:47-2423
    23Newport28551829:54-2520
    24Harrogate30462020:49-2918

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League