Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Blair H. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (329/423) | 57% (160/282) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (329/423) | 57% (160/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (27/90) | 39% (33/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (98/155) | 41% (43/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Plant J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Thibaut A. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 51', Finley S. 🟨,
- 61', Plant J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 70', Powell J. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
- 70', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 76', Agius C. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Thomas C. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
- 78', McGowan A. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
- 79', Ironside J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 90', Obiero Z. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, March J. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
- 90+2', March J. 🟨,
- 90+2', O'Reilly T. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 90+5', Warrington L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
48.8% | Draw
26.5% | Tranmere Rovers
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.99) |
3.53 ↑
(3.42) |
3.75 ↑
(3.47) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
- Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tranmere is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Tranmere Rovers?
Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Crewe Alexandra?
Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
13.12.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:4
26.04.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:0
26.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:1
03.02.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
14.10.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Tranmere Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
