Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
6:3
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3329
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)10.34% (3/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
2627
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
42
PIM
117
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 10:06, 1 - 0, Daoust P. (G), Harrington S. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
  • 14:03, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Boyd T. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
  • 15:46, 2 - 1, Halliday S. (G), Boucher T. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:52, 2 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 18:47, 3 - 2, Hodgson H. (G), Harrington S. (A),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:12, 4 - 2, Lycksell O. (G),
  • 06:43, 4 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 11:00, 5 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A),
  • 17:43, 6 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A),

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
37.7%		Draw
22.4%		Toronto Marlies
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 24.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 25.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↑
    (2.25)    		 4.06 ↑
    (3.78)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.57)    		 8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.
    • Belleville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:60. (average 2.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1
    26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2
    21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4
    20.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:3
    03.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    Latest results of Belleville Senators
    09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:3
    31.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Laval Rocket 3:4
    28.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Utica Comets 7:0
    26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1 ✺
    07.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters 4:5 ✺
    04.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:6
    03.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 6:4
    01.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch 2:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 643712114217:14499
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 65309521214:17583
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves632281419195:20174
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs64188533178:21257
    7Iowa Wild62166931152:19553


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda63299421218:19180
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds632512521214:19079
    5Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls642361223194:20070
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans62217925191:19565
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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