Result
5:2
27/03/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.89% (5/36) | 6.9% (2/29) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.1% (27/29) | 86.11% (31/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:33, 1 - 0, Meyer C. (G), Nadeau O. (A), Leschyshyn J. (A2)
- 05:51, 2 - 0, Costantini M. (G), Jones Z. (A), Helenius K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 08:01, 3 - 0, Wahlberg A. (G), Helenius K. (A), Bayreuther G. (A2)
- 13:34, 3 - 1, Sim L. (G), Buhr B. (A), Smith B. (A2)
- 16:20, 3 - 2, Valis B. (G), Thrun H. (A), Borgesi V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 02:32, 4 - 2, Kuntar T. (G), Bayreuther G. (A), Meyer C. (A2)
- 18:58, 5 - 2, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G),
Chances of winning
Rochester Americans
39.2% | Draw
22.7% | Toronto Marlies
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochester Americans's form might have worsened.Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Marlies's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochester Americans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.04) |
4.08 ↑
(3.98) |
2.44 ↓
(2.87) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 2.
- Rochester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rochester Americans won against Toronto Marlies?
Rochester Americans has won 14 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Rochester Americans?
Toronto Marlies has won 14 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
14.03.2026
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
3:0
13.03.2026
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
03.01.2026
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
6:4
11.10.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Rochester Americans
4:1
10.10.2025
Rochester Americans
-
Toronto Marlies
4:3
Latest results of Rochester Americans
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
AHL Table
MainAtlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins ✔ | 72 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 239:162 | 110 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ | 72 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 243:186 | 101 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers ✔ | 71 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 234:186 | 91 |
| 4 | Bridgeport Islanders | 72 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 219:222 | 76 |
| 5 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 72 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 207:240 | 72 |
| 6 | Hershey Bears | 71 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 205:226 | 71 |
| 7 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 71 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 34 | 209:243 | 68 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 72 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 190:253 | 60 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ | 71 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 251:153 | 107 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves ✔ | 71 | 26 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 220:217 | 85 |
| 3 | Texas Stars ✔ | 72 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 222:228 | 80 |
| 4 | Manitoba Moose ✔ | 72 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 185:216 | 78 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals ✔ | 71 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 205:216 | 71 |
| 6 | Iowa Wild | 72 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 179:226 | 63 |
| 7 | Rockford IceHogs | 72 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 196:245 | 61 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign ✔ | 72 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 237:187 | 99 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles ✔ | 72 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 237:198 | 93 |
| 3 | Henderson Silver Knights ✔ | 72 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 263:225 | 90 |
| 4 | Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ | 71 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 233:214 | 88 |
| 5 | Bakersfield Condors ✔ | 72 | 29 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 244:236 | 86 |
| 6 | San Jose Barracuda ✔ | 72 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 28 | 243:230 | 84 |
| 7 | San Diego Gulls ✔ | 72 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 224:228 | 78 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 72 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 230:239 | 78 |
| 9 | Abbotsford Canucks | 71 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 169:232 | 61 |
| 10 | Calgary Wranglers | 72 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 203:269 | 61 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket ✔ | 71 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 231:196 | 90 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch ✔ | 72 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 237:189 | 89 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters ✔ | 71 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 211:223 | 81 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies ✔ | 71 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 225:226 | 80 |
| 5 | Utica Comets | 72 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 199:220 | 71 |
| 6 | Rochester Americans | 71 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 210:230 | 71 |
| 7 | Belleville Senators | 72 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 223:262 | 65 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
