Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
- 15', Bagatti N. 🟨,
- 43', Masi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bagatti N. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
- 47', Masi A. 🟨,
- 51', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
- 61', Renelus B. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 63', Masi A. 🟨,
- 65', Orfei A. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
- 74', Basso G. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
- 74', Ranieri R. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
- 75', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
- 81', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
- 81', Collodel R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 83', Giudici L. 🟥,
- 86', Bertoncini D. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 86', Mastroianni F. ↓, Aliata T. ↑,
- 87', Ferri D. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pro Patria
28.1% | Draw
28.8% | Novara
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.45) |
3.19 ↑
(3.05) |
2.13 ↓
(2.88) |
8.9%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
- Pro Patria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Novara might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Novara?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Pro Patria?
Novara has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Novara were as follows:
25.01.2025
Novara
-
Pro Patria
2:1
01.10.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
1:1
13.01.2024
Pro Patria
-
Novara
3:0
10.09.2023
Novara
-
Pro Patria
1:2
15.03.2023
Pro Patria
-
Novara
1:1
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Lecco | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Brescia | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | AlbinoLeffe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Pergolettese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Renate | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Arzignano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Trento | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Novara | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Ospitaletto | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Triestina | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | -9 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
