Result
1:1
16/04/2023 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
France | beIN Sports Max |
Hungary | Sport 1 |
Italy | Sky Sport |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Romania | Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Sweden | CMore Live |
United-kingdom | BT Sport |
World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Lecce 51.5% | Draw 28.7% | Sampdoria 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lecce - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (1.99) |
3.32 ↑ (3.22) |
4.78 ↑ (4.16) |
4.9% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 53.6% – 86.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lecce has the most likely position - 15 (31.83%), project points - 38, currently - 27, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (77.03%), project points - 23, currently - 15, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 52, small importance 19, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Lecce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Lecce is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Sampdoria?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lecce?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Sampdoria were as follows:
12.11.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lecce
0:2
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 58 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 38:17 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Napoli | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Juventus | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 29:14 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 41 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 39 |
| 8 | Lazio | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Udinese | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27:36 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Bologna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Torino | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 | Parma | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Genoa | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Lecce | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 15:31 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 27:38 | -11 | 18 |
| 19 | Pisa | 24 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 19:40 | -21 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B