Lecce vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

Serie A - Round 33
Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa, Al Rabiaa Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.37	1.25
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
79% (296/376)	77% (256/331)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.37	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	0.80
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
3	0
Shots inside the box
9	4
Shots outside the box
5	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
36	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
12	9
Passes
79% (296/376)	77% (256/331)
Long passes
38% (17/45)	33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
72% (113/158)	54% (31/57)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.84
Throw ins
26	25
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
66	44
Clearances
15	47
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.80	1.09
Goals prevented
-0.20	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Harrison J. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ndri K. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
57', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
57', Ngom O. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
60', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
62', Pierotti S. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Tiago Gabriel ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
72', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,
76', de Gea D. 🟨,
80', Pongracic M. 🟨,
80', Ndour C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
80', Fagioli N. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
80', Harrison J. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
82', Fazzini J. 🟨,
85', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
90+1', Solomon M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lecce
26.3%

Draw
28.9%

Fiorentina
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.1%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Lecce - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	2.13 ↑ (2.13)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lecce - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 4 - 8%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 35 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.3% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Fiorentina (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
Lecce has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fiorentina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Camarda F. (Shoulder Injury) Fofana S. (Inactive) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Parisi F. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Lecce: Sottil R. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Brescianini M. (Injury) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Kean M. (Calf Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Fiorentina?

Lecce has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lecce?

Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Fiorentina were as follows:

02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0

20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6

02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2

27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2

Latest results of Lecce

12.04.2026 Bologna - Lecce 2:0 ✺

06.04.2026 Lecce - Atalanta 0:3 ✺

22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

16.04.2026 Fiorentina - Crystal Palace 2:1 ✺

13.04.2026 Fiorentina - Lazio 1:0 ✺

09.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Verona - Fiorentina 0:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter ✔	34	25	4	5	80:31	49	79
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52:33	19	69
3	AC Milan	34	19	10	5	48:27	21	67
4	Juventus	34	18	10	6	57:29	28	64
5	Como	34	17	10	7	59:28	31	61
6	AS Roma	34	19	4	11	48:29	19	61
7	Atalanta	34	14	12	8	47:32	15	54
8	Lazio	34	12	12	10	37:33	4	48
9	Bologna	34	14	6	14	42:41	1	48
10	Sassuolo	34	13	7	14	41:44	-3	46
11	Udinese	34	12	8	14	41:46	-5	44
12	Parma	34	10	12	12	25:40	-15	42
13	Torino	34	11	8	15	39:56	-17	41
14	Genoa	34	10	9	15	40:48	-8	39
15	Fiorentina	34	8	13	13	38:45	-7	37
16	Cagliari	34	9	9	16	36:49	-13	36
17	Lecce	34	7	8	19	22:46	-24	29
18	Cremonese	34	6	10	18	26:51	-25	28
19	Verona	34	3	10	21	23:56	-33	19
20	Pisa	34	2	12	20	24:61	-37	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )