Arminia Bielefeld vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg
Result
2:0
12/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Nova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.49
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
73% (261/357)81% (405/500)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.45
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
73% (261/357)81% (405/500)
Long passes
32% (19/60)48% (41/85)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)64% (83/130)
Crosses
9% (1/11)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.58
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1312
Tackles
57% (13/23)61% (14/23)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.451.75
Goals prevented
0.45-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Mathisen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Corboz M. , Grodowski J. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 0, Grodowski J. , Mehlem M. (A),
  • 69', Dzogovic E. 🟨,
  • 73', Gnaka S. , Ulrich L. ,
  • 73', Mathisen M. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 73', Heber D. , Hercher P. ,
  • 73', Onaiwu A. , Holmstrom A. ,
  • 79', Momuluh T. , Sicker A. ,
  • 79', Young I. , Schreck S. ,
  • 85', Mehlem M. 🟨,
  • 87', Dzogovic E. , Hoti A. ,
  • 89', Grodowski J. , Kania J. ,
  • 89', Mehlem M. , Felix J. ,
  • 90+3', Worl M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
45.4%
Draw
24.7%
Magdeburg
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 24.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 25.2% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.11)
    3.81
    (3.8)
    3.16
    (3.08)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arminia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Magdeburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Lannert C. (Red Card) Sarenren Bazee N. (Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M. (Concussion) Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Diawara K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Loric S. (Muscle Injury) Nollenberger A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld 4:0
    13.11.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg 3:1
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover54018:5312
    2Karlsruher SC53207:3411
    3Arminia Bielefeld531111:4710
    4Darmstadt53118:5310
    5Elversberg53117:5210
    6Kaiserslautern53028:449
    7Schalke53025:419
    8Paderborn52215:418
    9Preussen Munster52128:807
    10Braunschweig52126:7-17
    11Dusseldorf52125:9-47
    12Holstein Kiel52035:6-16
    13Greuther Furth520310:14-46
    14Hertha Berlin51224:405
    15SG Dynamo Dresden51137:9-24
    16Bochum51045:9-43
    17Magdeburg51047:12-53
    18Nurnberg50142:6-41

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