Result
2:0
12/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
73% (261/357) | 81% (405/500) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.75 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 37 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
73% (261/357) | 81% (405/500) |
Long passes |
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32% (19/60) | 48% (41/85) |
Passes in final third |
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61% (68/111) | 64% (83/130) |
Crosses |
---|
9% (1/11) | 33% (7/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (13/23) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.45 | 1.75 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Mathisen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Corboz M. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
- 62', 2 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
- 69', Dzogovic E. 🟨,
- 73', Gnaka S. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
- 73', Mathisen M. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
- 73', Heber D. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
- 73', Onaiwu A. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
- 79', Momuluh T. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
- 79', Young I. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
- 85', Mehlem M. 🟨,
- 87', Dzogovic E. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 89', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 89', Mehlem M. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 90+3', Worl M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld 45.4% | Draw 24.7% | Magdeburg 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↓ (2.11) |
3.81 ↑ (3.8) |
3.16 ↑ (3.08) |
5.5% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Arminia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Magdeburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B.
(Injury)
Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lannert C.
(Red Card)
Sarenren Bazee N.
(Injury)
Uldrikis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M.
(Concussion)
Bockhorn H.
(Muscle Injury)
Chahed T.
(Muscle Injury)
Diawara K.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Loric S.
(Muscle Injury)
Nollenberger A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Arminia: Handwerker T.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Magdeburg?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Magdeburg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg were as follows:
28.05.2023
Magdeburg
-
Arminia Bielefeld
4:0
13.11.2022
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Magdeburg
3:1
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Hannover | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
2 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
4 | Darmstadt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Elversberg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Kaiserslautern | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
7 | Schalke | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Paderborn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Preussen Munster | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Braunschweig | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Dusseldorf | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Greuther Furth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
16 | Bochum | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Magdeburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
18 | Nurnberg | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga