Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 3, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.46
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
13
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
75
Passes
82% (342/419)83% (340/410)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.36
Total shots
159
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
105
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3224
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free kicks
159
Passes
82% (342/419)83% (340/410)
Long passes
47% (26/55)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
71% (86/121)68% (71/105)
Crosses
36% (5/14)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.61
Throw ins
1223
Fouls
915
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2314
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.360.24
Goals prevented
0.360.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Baleba C. 🟨,
  • 22', Baleba C. , Milner J. ,
  • 23', Veltman J. 🟨,
  • 41', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 41', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 60', Sancho J. , Bailey L. ,
  • 60', Buendia E. , Barkley R. ,
  • 61', van Hecke J. P. , Boscagli O. ,
  • 74', Onana A. , Alysson ,
  • 75', Watkins O. , Abraham T. ,
  • 81', Mitoma K. , Howell H. ,
  • 81', Gomez D. , Minteh Y. ,
  • 81', Welbeck D. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 84', Douglas Luiz , Lindelof V. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Hinshelwood J. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
48.1%
Draw
25.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 24.7% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    3.78
    (3.84)
    3.62
    (3.83)
    4.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 57 - 76%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 6 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 66.3%85.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Aston Villa (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.32) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Aston Villa (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 6 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
    • Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y. (Shoulder Injury) van Hecke J. P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    03.12.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 3:4
    02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2
    05.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 1:0
    30.09.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 6:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford281341144:40443
    8Everton281171032:33-140
    9Fulham281241240:42-240
    10Bournemouth28912744:46-239
    11Brighton28910938:35337
    12Sunderland28910929:34-537
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds287101137:47-1031
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley28471732:56-2419
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship