Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.731.14
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
74
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
61
Passes
85% (447/525)81% (294/361)
Yellow cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.731.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.71
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3122
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
54
Free kicks
1511
Passes
85% (447/525)81% (294/361)
Long passes
60% (24/40)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
73% (117/161)75% (62/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.07
Throw ins
2213
Fouls
1115
Tackles
57% (13/23)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
1230
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
1.711.69
Goals prevented
-0.290.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Gruda B. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Mainoo K. 🟨,
  • 62', Mainoo K. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
  • 62', Mount M. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Welbeck D. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
  • 77', Gomez D. ↓, van Hecke J. P. ↑,
  • 77', Veltman J. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
  • 78', Welbeck D. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
  • 79', Ugarte M. ↓, Casemiro ↑,
  • 79', Martinez Li. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
  • 79', Hurzeler F. 🟨,
  • 83', Rutter G. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
  • 87', Lacey S. 🟨,
  • 89', Lacey S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gruda B. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
  • 90+3', Kostoulas C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Maguire H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
53.3%		Draw
22.3%		Brighton & Hove Albion
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 24.3% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24.2% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↓
    (1.82)    		 4.22 ↑
    (3.87)    		 3.84 ↓
    (3.94)    		 5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 61.6% – 88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Man Utd (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Brighton & Hove (7.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 4:2
    19.01.2025 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3
    24.08.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 2:1
    19.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 0:2
    16.09.2023 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3
    Latest results of Manchester United
    07.01.2026 Burnley - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    30.12.2025 Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    07.01.2026 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 2:0 ✺
    30.12.2025 West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton
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