Result
2:0
29/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Gnaase D. ⚽, Dadok R. (A),
- 67', Zielonka N. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
- 68', Dzieciol E. ↓, Pakulski D. ↑,
- 68', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Kozlowski O. ↑,
- 74', Dadok R. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
- 74', Vasin N. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
- 83', Poczobut B. ↓, Skrabb S. ↑,
- 83', Salihu H. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
- 84', Zjawinski L. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 88', Dembek B. ↓, Stypulkowski S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw
50.4% | Draw
25.2% | Pogoń Siedlce
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.86) |
3.7 ↓
(3.79) |
3.86 ↑
(3.71) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 2 - 50%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Polonia Warsaw will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3.
- Polonia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pogoń Siedlce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Polonia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Polonia Warsaw?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
20.07.2025
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Polonia Warsaw
1:1
09.04.2025
Polonia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Siedlce
2:1
22.09.2024
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Polonia Warsaw
2:4
06.07.2024
Polonia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Siedlce
2:1
27.01.2024
Polonia Warsaw
-
Pogoń Siedlce
0:2
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 40 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Legnica | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | S. Rzeszow | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzow | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:33 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 26 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24:45 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 17 |
| 17 | Leczna | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 16 |
| 18 | Tychy | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
