Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Ostracanin S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (447/507) | 79% (299/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (447/507) | 79% (299/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (99/132) | 62% (53/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Djuricic N. ⚽, Kuljanin A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mezei S. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 46', Dimoski B. ↓, Urosevic S. ↑,
- 46', Mladenovic S. ↓, Stancic A. ↑,
- 75', Grgic D. ↓, Milosavljevic J. ↑,
- 75', Kuljanin A. ↓, Jovanovic N. ↑,
- 76', Milikic M. 🟨,
- 79', Todoroski A. ↓, Milosavic M. ↑,
- 79', Petrovic B. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
- 81', Ivanov H. ↓, Vidojevic N. ↑,
- 87', Jasper S. ↓, Cvetkovic S. ↑,
- 87', Karikari K. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Železničar Pančevo
47.6% | Draw
27.7% | Bačka Topola
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Železničar Pančevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Železničar Pančevo's performance.Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bačka Topola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Železničar Pančevo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bačka Topola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Železničar Pančevo - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.36) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
3.98 ↑
(2.8) |
1.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ))
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Železničar P won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Železničar P won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Železničar Pančevo won against Bačka Topola?
Železničar Pančevo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Železničar Pančevo?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Železničar Pančevo - Bačka Topola were as follows:
07.04.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Železničar Pančevo
1:0
10.11.2024
Železničar Pančevo
-
Bačka Topola
3:3
24.02.2024
Železničar Pančevo
-
Bačka Topola
2:3
16.09.2023
Bačka Topola
-
Železničar Pančevo
6:3
09.11.2022
Bačka Topola
-
Železničar Pančevo
2:0
Latest results of Železničar Pančevo
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
