Result
3:5
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay, V Sport Live 3 |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Live 3 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.82% (3/34) | 31.25% (5/16) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 68.75% (11/16) | 91.18% (31/34) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (8/8) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.3 | 53.7 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 4)
- 01:06, 1 - 0, Sourdif J. (G), Wilson T. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
- 02:39, Moser J.J. (2 min),
- 02:53, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
- 03:25, Frank E. (2 min),
- 05:21, 1 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 07:06, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 11:36, 1 - 3, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
- 18:19, 1 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
- 18:19, Thompson L. ↓, Lindgren C. ↑,
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:12, Hagel B. (2 min),
- 05:26, 2 - 4, Chychrun J. (G),
- 18:25, Wilson T. (5 min),
- 18:25, Douglas C. (2 min),
- 18:25, Douglas C. (5 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:58, Sandin R. (2 min),
- 05:24, 3 - 4, Frank E. (G), Milano S. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
- 06:30, Cirelli A. (2 min),
- 07:17, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
- 08:25, Chychrun J. (2 min),
- 15:51, 3 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Washington Capitals
41.5% | Draw
22.6% | Tampa Bay Lightning
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.48) |
4.21 ↓
(4.47) |
2.61 ↑
(2.48) |
5.1%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 6.6% – 60%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Washington: Dowd N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Injury)
Hedman V.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Holmberg P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:59. (average 3.1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Washington Capitals won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Washington Capitals has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Washington Capitals?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
08.11.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Washington Capitals
3:2
14.10.2025
Washington Capitals
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
01.03.2025
Washington Capitals
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:3
27.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Washington Capitals
4:5
26.10.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Washington Capitals
3:0
Latest results of Washington Capitals
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal
