Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:5
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 3
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3416
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
8.82% (3/34)31.25% (5/16)
Blocked Shots
2113
Goalkeeper Saves
1131
Saves PCT
68.75% (11/16)91.18% (31/34)
Penalties
48
PIM
1127
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/8)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (8/8)
Hits
1915
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Giveaways
1517
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 4)
  • 01:06, 1 - 0, Sourdif J. (G), Wilson T. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
  • 02:39, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 02:53, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • 03:25, Frank E. (2 min),
  • 05:21, 1 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 07:06, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 11:36, 1 - 3, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 18:19, 1 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 18:19, Thompson L. ↓, Lindgren C. ↑,
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:12, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 05:26, 2 - 4, Chychrun J. (G),
  • 18:25, Wilson T. (5 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (2 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:58, Sandin R. (2 min),
  • 05:24, 3 - 4, Frank E. (G), Milano S. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
  • 06:30, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 07:17, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 08:25, Chychrun J. (2 min),
  • 15:51, 3 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
41.5%		Draw
22.6%		Tampa Bay Lightning
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 21.7% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 21.9% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.48)    		 4.21 ↓
    (4.47)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.48)    		 5.1%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 6.6% – 60%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury) Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Lower-Body Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:59. (average 3.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:2
    14.10.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    01.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    27.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 4:5
    26.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:0
    Latest results of Washington Capitals
    20.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 4:8 ✺
    19.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers 7:4 ✺
    17.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings 2:1 ✺
    15.11.2025 Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils 2:3 ✺
    13.11.2025 Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals 6:3 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    20.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers 2:1 ✺
    18.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils 5:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks 2:6 ✺
    15.11.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3 ✺
    12.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers 3:7 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche61384910235:15393
    2Dallas Stars623171014216:17086
    3Minnesota Wild6324131016213:18284
    4Anaheim Ducks622015324211:21773
    5Vegas Golden Knights632181420207:20172
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers63228825223:21668
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks601812525188:21065
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13St. Louis Blues62222929162:21257
    14Chicago Blackhawks621851029166:20156
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks62136736163:23345


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes623010616220:17886
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings632411721186:19077
    5Montreal Canadiens6122111018218:20676
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Florida Panthers63256329191:21065
    14Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    15New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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