Result
6:1
05/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.43% (6/28) | 2.94% (1/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 97.06% (33/34) | 78.57% (22/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 84 | 71 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 5.26% (1/19) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 94.74% (18/19) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 44.64 | 55.36 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 02:08, 1 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Hedman V. (A),
- 14:08, 2 - 0, Girgensons Z. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
- 15:14, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 15:50, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
- 18:58, James D. (2 min),
- 18:58, Goncalves G. (2 min),
- 18:58, Boqvist J. (2 min),
- 18:58, Samoskevich M. (2 min),
- 20:00, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:14, 3 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 10:48, Lundell A. (2 min),
- 14:20, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 16:06, Hedman V. (2 min),
- 16:06, Moser J.J. (2 min),
- 16:06, Bennett S. (2 min),
- 16:06, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
- 17:50, 4 - 0, Cernak E. (G), McDonagh R. (A), James D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:06, Tkachuk M. (5 min),
- 04:06, Mikkola N. (2 min),
- 04:06, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
- 04:06, Bennett S. (10 min),
- 04:06, Verhaeghe C. (10 min),
- 04:06, Sebrango D. (10 min),
- 04:06, Kucherov N. (10 min),
- 04:06, Guentzel J. (10 min),
- 04:06, Raddysh D. (10 min),
- 04:06, Gourde Y. (10 min),
- 04:06, Moser J.J. (5 min),
- 06:09, 5 - 0, Holmberg P. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
- 06:09, Tarasov D. ↓, Bobrovsky S. ↑,
- 06:33, Douglas C. (5 min),
- 06:33, Douglas C. (10 min),
- 09:50, 5 - 1, Samoskevich M. (G), Boqvist J. (A), Lundell A. (A2)
- 15:41, 6 - 1, Bjorkstrand O. (G),
- 16:05, Carlile D. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.8% | Draw
22% | Florida Panthers
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.96) |
4.33 ↑
(4.27) |
3.55 ↑
(3.18) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Florida will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 51.5% – 92.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 3rd Period - Tampa Bay (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Period - Tampa Bay (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5, 3rd Period - Tampa Bay (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5, 1st Period - Tampa Bay (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Florida (votes: 2 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
- Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Florida's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Injury)
D'Astous C.
(Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Florida: Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jones S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kulikov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Marchand B.
(Injury)
Nosek T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:64. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:40. (average 3.4:3.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Florida Panthers?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 16 of their last 35 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Florida Panthers won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Florida Panthers has won 19 of their last 35 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers were as follows:
27.12.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:4
15.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Florida Panthers
2:5
15.11.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:3
04.10.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
7:0
02.10.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Florida Panthers
5:2
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Florida Panthers
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 81 | 47 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 300:203 | 119 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 82 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 279:226 | 112 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild ✔ | 82 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 24 | 272:240 | 104 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights ✔ | 82 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 265:250 | 95 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth ✔ | 81 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 265:235 | 92 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers ✔ | 81 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 276:268 | 91 |
| 7 | Anaheim Ducks ✔ | 81 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 33 | 268:284 | 90 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings ✔ | 81 | 22 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 224:244 | 90 |
| 9 | Nashville Predators | 81 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 243:264 | 86 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 81 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 245:291 | 84 |
| 11 | St. Louis Blues | 81 | 32 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 226:255 | 84 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 81 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 230:254 | 82 |
| 13 | Seattle Kraken | 81 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 226:261 | 79 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 81 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 209:258 | 75 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 82 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 213:275 | 72 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 81 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 215:310 | 58 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes ✔ | 82 | 39 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 296:240 | 113 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres ✔ | 82 | 42 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 288:241 | 109 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ | 82 | 40 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 290:231 | 106 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens ✔ | 82 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 24 | 283:256 | 106 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins ✔ | 82 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 272:250 | 100 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators ✔ | 82 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 278:246 | 99 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ | 82 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 293:268 | 98 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Flyers ✔ | 82 | 27 | 16 | 12 | 27 | 250:243 | 98 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 263:244 | 95 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 241:258 | 92 |
| 11 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 82 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 30 | 253:253 | 92 |
| 12 | New York Islanders | 82 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 34 | 233:241 | 91 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 82 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 230:254 | 87 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 82 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 251:276 | 84 |
| 15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 253:299 | 78 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 82 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 238:250 | 77 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
