Surkhon Termez vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
05/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 2
  • Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
28
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
810
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Perica S. ,
  • 45', Ashuboyev T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Giyosov K. , Odilov A. ,
  • 46', Jumaev A. , Ismoilov A. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Perica S. ,
  • 60', Perica S. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 60', Pulatov I. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 64', Abdukhamidov S. , Kodirov F. ,
  • 71', Abdullazhonov S. , Karimov A. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Djokic J. ,
  • 77', Fomin R. 🟨,
  • 79', Djokic J. , Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 81', Ashuboyev T. , Temirkhanov A. ,
  • 81', Friday R. , Quvondigov U. ,

Chances of winning


Surkhon Termez
15.1%
Draw
26.5%
Neftchi Fargona
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 27.5% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
  • Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.07
    (4.71)
    3.45
    (3.32)
    1.57
    (1.72)
    9.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Surkhon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Surkhon (votes: 1 - 50%). Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 0.
    • Recent performances by Surkhon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Recently, Surkhon has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez 2:1
    15.06.2025 Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    09.11.2024 Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    15.06.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez 1:1
    22.10.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez 1:1
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    17.02.2026 Rotor - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    09.02.2026 Sochi - Surkhon Termez Canceled
    09.02.2026 Surkhon Termez - Shinnik 0:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pakhtakor760114:7718
    2Neftchi Fargona650116:21415
    3Navbahor Namangan750210:5515
    4Buxoro742110:6414
    5Bunyodkor64117:3413
    6Nasaf Qarshi73317:4312
    7Lok. Tashkent73229:8111
    8Xorazm Urganch62226:608
    9OKMK72237:9-28
    10Termez Surkhon72236:10-48
    11Din. Samarkand72149:12-37
    12Andijan72058:9-16
    13Kokand 191261326:7-16
    14Qizilqum72055:13-86
    15Sogdiana712410:17-75
    16Mashal Muborak70072:14-120

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