Result
0:2
24/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 9
- Referee: Jorayev G. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Traore B. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
- 14', 0 - 1, Perica S. ⚽,
- 24', Sayfiev F. 🟨,
- 44', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lohan ↓, Rafael Sabino ↑,
- 59', Jumaev A. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
- 59', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Ismoilov A. ⚽,
- 71', Odilov A. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
- 71', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Pulatov I. ↑,
- 80', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Nugumanov D. ↑,
- 80', Iskanderov J. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 87', Pulatov I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Xorazm Urganch
16.6% | Draw
26.2% | Neftchi Fargona
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Fargona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Fargona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.51 ↓
(6.77) |
3.5 ↓
(3.93) |
1.6 ↑
(1.47) |
9.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In recent matches, Xorazm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xorazm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Xorazm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Xorazm Urganch won against Neftchi Fargona?
Xorazm Urganch has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Xorazm Urganch?
Neftchi Fargona has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
30.11.2025
Xorazm Urganch
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:0
07.07.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
