Result
4:1
29/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (302/352) | 86% (346/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (302/352) | 86% (346/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (60/84) | 69% (56/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Dudu Kogitzki (A),
- 17', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 36', Medina C. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Edenilson ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 49', 3 - 1, Aguirre F. ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 57', Arthur Dias 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez S. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 59', Matheus Martins ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 61', Julimar ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 61', Arthur Dias ↓, Teran C. ↑,
- 75', Edenilson ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 75', Arthur Cabral ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Esquivel L. ⚽,
- 88', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
- 89', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 90', Mendoza S. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
- 90+2', Junior Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
47.7% | Draw
28.5% | Botafogo RJ
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
3.31 ↓
(3.39) |
3.97 ↑
(3.6) |
5.9%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Botafogo will win (votes: 38 - 69.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 56.9% – 81.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Botafogo (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Botafogo (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Botafogo (votes: 9 - 81.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Botafogo RJ?
Athletico Paranaense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Athletico Paranaense?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
05.10.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
19.06.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
22.10.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
03.06.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
31.05.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
