Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
10/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.990.39
Ball possession
81%19%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
62
Passes
89% (572/646)49% (79/160)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
0.990.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.17
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
105
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
95
Passes
89% (572/646)49% (79/160)
Long passes
62% (29/47)22% (12/55)
Passes in final third
79% (177/224)49% (30/61)
Crosses
18% (7/38)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.26
Throw ins
2311
Fouls
59
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5237
Clearances
946
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.171.12
Goals prevented
-0.831.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Celiz M. , Martinez T. (A),
  • 34', Ponte M. , Correa J. ,
  • 34', Rojas J. , Castillo B. ,
  • 45+4', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bastos , Arthur Cabral ,
  • 46', Martinez T. , Perlaza J. ,
  • 47', Perlaza J. 🟨,
  • 51', Villalba H. 🟨,
  • 58', Vallecilla G. , Mina J. ,
  • 59', Villalba H. , Benedetto D. ,
  • 60', Castillo B. 🟨,
  • 71', Barrera J. , Artur ,
  • 84', Matheus Martins , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 84', Montoro A. , Caio Valle ,
  • 90+2', Contreras J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Carabali B. , Chala Rosales W. J. ,
  • 90+5', Celiz M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
60.3%
Draw
25.5%
Barcelona Guayaquil
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 25.2% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 24.1% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.49)
    3.65
    (3.72)
    6.56
    (8.12)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Barcelona (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barcelona (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Botafogo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    03.03.2026 Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    07.03.2026 Botafogo RJ - Bangu 3:1
    28.02.2026 Botafogo RJ - Boavista 0:0
    25.02.2026 Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador Postponed
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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