Gillingham vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.961.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.272.20
Total shots
1922
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
711
Shots inside the box
1614
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
21
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1013
Passes
78% (326/419)68% (222/327)
Long passes
45% (33/73)36% (28/78)
Passes in final third
65% (93/144)57% (68/119)
Crosses
50% (13/26)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.77
Throw ins
1920
Fouls
1310
Tackles
58% (7/12)20% (2/10)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
3132
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.202.27
Goals prevented
0.20-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Spellman M. , Opoku N. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Masterson C. , Clark M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Spellman M. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 62', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 70', Smith J. , McCleary G. ,
  • 76', Jenkins L. , Antwi C. ,
  • 76', Smith M. , Brennan C. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Antwi C. , Nyakuhwa T. (A),
  • 86', Rowe A. , Hutton R. ,
  • 87', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 88', Shephard L. , Thomas J. ,
  • 89', Opoku N. , Crole J. ,
  • 90', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, McCleary G. , Clark M. (A),
  • 90+12', Dack B. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90+16', Brennan C. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Smith A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
59.1%
Draw
23.7%
Newport County
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 24.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 24.1% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gillingham - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.61)
    3.9
    (3.7)
    5.37
    (5.19)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Newport County were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2
    20.09.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 1:3
    04.03.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:1
    22.10.2024 Gillingham - Newport County 0:2
    17.02.2024 Newport County - Gillingham 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League