Gillingham vs Colchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.76
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
96
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
63% (160/254)73% (244/332)
Long passes
50% (40/80)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
53% (57/108)66% (89/135)
Crosses
11% (3/27)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.68
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
2313
Tackles
67% (8/12)40% (2/5)
Duels won
6164
Clearances
3246
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.89
Goals prevented
0.760.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Vokes S. , Andrews J. ,
  • 68', Anderson H. , Edwards O. ,
  • 68', Palmer-Houlden S. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. , Rowe A. (A),
  • 77', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 81', Payne J. , Tovide S. ,
  • 82', Mbick M. , Goodwin W. ,
  • 86', Little A. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 88', Lisbie K. , Vincent-Young K. ,
  • 90', Masterson C. , Coleman E. ,
  • 90', Dack B. , Williams J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
34.8%
Draw
29.4%
Colchester United
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Colchester United aligns with the current prediction.
  • Gillingham - Colchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.47)
    3.15
    (3.23)
    2.6
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Colchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Morris G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Colchester United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:0
    07.10.2025 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:1
    01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1
    26.12.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 2:0
    01.01.2024 Colchester United - Gillingham 0:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Colchester United
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One