Ceuta vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
66
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Falcon E. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Kone K. ,
  • 41', Rodri 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodri , Aquino D. ,
  • 47', Nabian H. 🟨,
  • 56', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 60', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,
  • 63', Falcon E. , Beltran L. ,
  • 63', Athuman I. , Eslava J. ,
  • 63', Nabian H. , Pareja Alvarez L. ,
  • 67', Escudero A. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 68', Beneit R. 🟨,
  • 78', Eslava J. 🟨,
  • 78', Beneit R. , Busi ,
  • 82', Bonaque M. , Prevedini M. ,
  • 82', Jamelli , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', Zalazar K. , Rodriguez C. ,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Mérida AD
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 27.1% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 25.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Ceuta - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    3.66
    (3.39)
    4.5
    (4.49)
    8.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Mérida AD?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Mérida AD (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1.
    • Ceuta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mérida AD is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Ceuta is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ceuta will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Mérida AD were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Mérida AD - Ceuta 1:1
    25.05.2024 Mérida AD - Ceuta 3:2
    17.12.2023 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:1
    02.04.2023 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:0
    20.11.2022 Mérida AD - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    27.04.2025 Mérida AD - Antequera 3:0
    20.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD 1:1
    13.04.2025 Hércules - Mérida AD 0:0
    06.04.2025 Mérida AD - Sevilla B 2:1
    30.03.2025 Alcoyano - Mérida AD 2:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense351811653:332065
    2Sabadell351714448:222665
    3Atl. Madrid B351710856:381861
    4Villarreal B351513748:282058
    5CE Europa351511948:43556
    6FC Cartagena SAD3514111032:32053
    7Algeciras3514101138:36252
    8Teruel3512121126:29-348
    9UD Ibiza3512111238:32647
    10Alcorcon3511141036:33347
    11Antequera351381442:43-147
    12Hercules3512111238:39-147
    13Murcia3512101336:37-146
    14Torremolinos3510131242:45-343
    15Gimnastic351271637:45-843
    16Tarazona3510121329:35-642
    17Betis B351081741:56-1538
    18Marbella35872031:47-1631
    19Sanluqueno ✔ 35782026:51-2529
    20Sevilla FC B ✔ 355111918:39-2126

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sanluqueno is Relegated to
    Sevilla FC B is Relegated to