Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Kawano R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Nakayama R. ⚽, Sugimoto R. (A),
- 64', Saso K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
- 64', Miyabe T. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 75', Nakayama R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
- 78', Ogawa D. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 78', Higuchi D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
- 80', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Shimakawa T. ↑,
- 80', Takagi A. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
- 80', Sugimoto R. ↓, Osako R. ↑,
- 86', Taki Y. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
- 89', Kawano R. ↓, Nakashio D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagamihara
37.9% | Draw
29.1% | Matsumoto Yamaga
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.52) |
3.18 ↑
(3.07) |
2.81 ↑
(2.59) |
7.9%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1.
- Sagamihara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sagamihara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Sagamihara has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Sagamihara?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
23.03.2025
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Sagamihara
2:0
17.08.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Sagamihara
3:2
22.06.2024
Sagamihara
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
28.10.2023
Sagamihara
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
0:2
03.06.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Sagamihara
5:3
Latest results of Sagamihara
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
