Result
1:3
29/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Ashibe K. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Oda I. ⚽, Murakoshi K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Harigaya T. ↓, Kano K. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 2, Yasunaga R. ⚽, Murakoshi K. (A),
- 55', 0 - 3, Oda I. ⚽, Yasunaga R. (A),
- 64', 1 - 3, Shimizu K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Ishii R. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
- 75', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
- 83', Sawazaki R. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
- 86', Anzai T. ↓, Chiba T. ↑,
- 86', Nakamura T. ↓, Izumi S. ↑,
- 88', Oda I. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 88', Higuchi D. ↓, Matsuoka R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fukushima United 31.5% | Draw 24.4% | Matsumoto Yamaga 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↓ (3.03) |
3.75 ↑ (3.67) |
2.08 ↓ (2.11) |
9.3% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 3.
- Fukushima United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fukushima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fukushima United won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Fukushima United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Fukushima United?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
05.10.2025
Fukushima United
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
07.06.2025
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Fukushima United
1:2
01.12.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Fukushima United
1:1
27.07.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Fukushima United
1:1
17.03.2024
Fukushima United
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Latest results of Fukushima United
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kofu | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Yamaga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Iwata | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15:28 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:26 | 6 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Ehime | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Kamatamare | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Osaka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Imabari | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Kumamoto | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )