Bakersfield Condors vs Calgary Wranglers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 OT
20/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2933
Shooting PCT
13.79% (4/29)15.15% (5/33)
Goalkeeper Saves
2825
Saves PCT
84.85% (28/33)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)75% (3/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:48, 1 - 0, Jones M. (G), Griffith S. (A),
  • 19:02, 1 - 1, Stromgren W. (G), Kerins R. (A), Miromanov D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:47, 2 - 1, Regula A. (G), Poulin S. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 07:39, 3 - 1, Howard I. (G), D'Amato D. (A), Leppanen A. (A2)
  • 18:05, 3 - 2, Ottenbreit T. (G), King C. (A), Morton S. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 10:04, 3 - 3, Silye D. (G),
  • 12:18, 4 - 3, Leppanen A. (G), Griffith S. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)
  • 18:47, 4 - 4, Frk M. (G), Stromgren W. (A), Miromanov D. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:31, 4 - 5, Miromanov D. (G), Stromgren W. (A), Kerins R. (A2)

Chances of winning


Bakersfield Condors
50.7%
Draw
20.5%
Calgary Wranglers
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 23.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 24.3% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bakersfield Condors's performance.
  • Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calgary Wranglers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bakersfield Condors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calgary Wranglers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.12)
    4.5
    (3.95)
    3.21
    (2.69)
    8.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Bakersfield (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bakersfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 4.
    • Bakersfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Calgary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bakersfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:53. (average 3.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 4.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers 3:2
    18.01.2026 Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors 0:1
    16.01.2026 Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors 1:5
    18.11.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers 5:2
    02.11.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors 6:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )