Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
25/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2315
Shooting PCT
21.74% (5/23)26.67% (4/15)
Goalkeeper Saves
1118
Saves PCT
73.33% (11/15)78.26% (18/23)
Penalties
56
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
22
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (2/6)40% (2/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
60% (3/5)66.67% (4/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:10, 1 - 0, Sale E. (G), Nelson T. (A), Morrison L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:34, 2 - 0, Firkus J. (G), Nyman J. (A),
  • 05:11, 2 - 1, Regula A. (G), Poulin S. (A), Marjala V. (A2)
  • 14:10, 3 - 1, Stephens M. (G), Avon J. (A), Hayden J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 02:36, 3 - 2, Hutson Q. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 06:21, 4 - 2, Fisker Molgaard O. (G), Nelson T. (A), Melanson J. (A2)
  • 11:25, 4 - 3, Leppanen A. (G), Lafreniere T. (A), Poulin S. (A2)
  • 12:03, 4 - 4, Stillman R. (G), Marjala V. (A), Howard I. (A2)
  • 16:50, 5 - 4, Fisker Molgaard O. (G), Melanson J. (A),

Chances of winning


Coachella Valley Firebirds
37.2%
Draw
22%
Bakersfield Condors
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 22.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 24.7% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coachella Valley Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.25)
    4.17
    (4.19)
    2.3
    (2.55)
    8.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Bakersfield Condors leads series 1-0. Second leg.
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bakersfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 62:71. (average 3.1:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coachella Valley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 3.2:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    23.04.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 6:1
    28.02.2026 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors 3:2
    18.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 4:3
    31.12.2025 Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors 3:7
    20.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Providence Bruins (1)Bye
    2Charlotte Checkers (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)1 : 2
    3Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (2)Bye
    4Bridgeport Islanders (4)Hershey Bears (5)0 : 2
    5Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    6Toronto Marlies (4)Rochester Americans (5)1 : 1
    7Syracuse Crunch (2)Bye
    8ByeCleveland Monsters
    9Grand Rapids Griffins (1)Bye
    10Manitoba Moose (4)Milwaukee Admirals (5)1 : 1
    11Chicago Wolves (2)Bye
    12ByeTexas Stars (3)
    13Ontario Reign (1)Bye
    14Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Bakersfield Condors (5)1 : 1
    15Colorado Eagles (2)San Diego Gulls (7)2 : 0
    16Henderson Silver Knights (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Providence Bruins (1)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (2)Hershey Bears (5)
    3Laval Rocket (1)TBD #6
    4Syracuse Crunch (2)Cleveland Monsters (3)0 : 1
    5Grand Rapids Griffins (1)TBD #10
    6Chicago Wolves (2)Texas Stars (3)
    7Ontario Reign (1)TBD #14
    8Colorado Eagles (2)Henderson Silver Knights (3)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2