Result
1:2
11/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Usama A. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 1, Lubwama E. ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 2, Watambala K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UPDF
6.2% | Draw
16.2% | Vipers
77.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vipers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vipers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UPDF - Vipers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
14.71 ↑
(8.7) |
5.63 ↑
(4.15) |
1.18 ↓
(1.34) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
- UPDF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vipers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Vipers is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:34. (average 0.5:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Vipers?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vipers won against UPDF?
Vipers has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Vipers were as follows:
02.12.2025
Vipers
-
UPDF
5:1
29.04.2025
Vipers
-
UPDF
1:0
03.01.2025
UPDF
-
Vipers
0:1
05.04.2024
Vipers
-
UPDF
2:1
03.12.2023
UPDF
-
Vipers
0:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Kitara | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32:11 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Police | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | BUL | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 18:15 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Express | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | URA SC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | UPDF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:46 | -31 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9:36 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
