Result
2:5
21/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 7', 0 - 1, Ochen E. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Ssewagudde D. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Bogere I. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Bogere I. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 4, Lubwama E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 5, Faridi R. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 5, Onek H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bul 56.5% | Draw 23.9% | UPDF 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UPDF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UPDF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bul - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.49) |
3.8 ↑ (3.51) |
4.64 ↓ (6.36) |
10% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bul - UPDF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Bul (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bul won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, UPDF has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bul is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bul won against UPDF?
Bul has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Bul?
UPDF has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bul - UPDF were as follows:
30.01.2026
UPDF
-
Bul
0:1
04.12.2024
Bul
-
UPDF
0:2
12.03.2024
Bul
-
UPDF
0:1
09.11.2023
UPDF
-
Bul
2:0
21.02.2023
UPDF
-
Bul
1:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League