Bul vs UPDF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
21/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
96
Corner kicks
110
Total shots
157
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Ochen E. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Ssewagudde D. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Bogere I. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 3, Bogere I. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 4, Lubwama E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 5, Faridi R. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 5, Onek H. ,

Chances of winning


Bul
56.5%
Draw
23.9%
UPDF
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 25.6% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 24.6% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UPDF's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UPDF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bul - UPDF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.49)
    3.8
    (3.51)
    4.64
    (6.36)
    10%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bul - UPDF?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Bul (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bul won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, UPDF has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bul is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bul - UPDF were as follows:
    30.01.2026 UPDF - Bul 0:1
    04.12.2024 Bul - UPDF 0:2
    12.03.2024 Bul - UPDF 0:1
    09.11.2023 UPDF - Bul 2:0
    21.02.2023 UPDF - Bul 1:1
    Latest results of Bul
    08.04.2026 Maroons - Bul 1:0
    13.03.2026 Bul - Mbarara City 0:0
    06.03.2026 Bul - Calvary 5:1
    Latest results of UPDF
    15.04.2026 UPDF - Express 0:1
    09.04.2026 UPDF - Mbarara City 3:1
    14.03.2026 Maroons - UPDF 0:0
    11.03.2026 UPDF - Vipers 1:2
    06.03.2026 UPDF - Kitara 1:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers26178149:163359
    2Kitara26166438:152354
    3Kampala City26164637:201752
    4Villa26156538:142451
    5NEC FC261112326:161045
    6Police26135839:31844
    7Entebbe UPPC26127723:19443
    8BUL26971029:28134
    9Maroons26810825:21434
    10Express26791023:27-430
    11URA SC26413922:28-625
    12Lugazi26581319:34-1523
    13UPDF26561522:35-1321
    14Mbarara City26491321:39-1821
    15Buhimba26431916:56-4015
    16Calvary26271710:38-2813

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