Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Carlos Daniel (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 2, Talles Wander ⚽,
- 41', Monteiro J. 🟨,
- 42', Cardoso F. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 44', Braga V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Podstawski T. ↓, Nando ↑,
- 59', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
- 59', Braga V. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
- 67', Martins J. 🟨,
- 67', Castro D. 🟨,
- 71', Gomes V. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
- 71', Couto J. ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Santos J. ⚽,
- 77', Talles Wander 🟨,
- 82', Castro D. ↓, Ze Oliveira ↑,
- 82', Santos J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
- 86', Maio F. ↓, Santos R. ↑,
- 86', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Teixeira T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fafe
64.2% | Draw
22% | Sanjoanense
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Fafe - Sanjoanense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.38) |
4.21 ↓
(4.35) |
6.72 ↓
(7.18) |
8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 1.
- Recent performances by Fafe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sanjoanense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sanjoanense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fafe is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Sanjoanense?
Fafe has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanjoanense won against Fafe?
Sanjoanense has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Sanjoanense were as follows:
09.11.2025
Sanjoanense
-
Fafe
1:1
10.08.2025
Fafe
-
Sanjoanense
0:2
30.11.2024
Sanjoanense
-
Fafe
0:1
17.08.2024
Fafe
-
Sanjoanense
1:1
30.03.2024
Sanjoanense
-
Fafe
4:2
Latest results of Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
