Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Pinto G. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martins D. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 58', Braga V. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 58', Doukoure H. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 62', Soares P. 🟨,
- 63', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨,
- 70', Pedro P. 🟨,
- 71', Ka ↓, Leal J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Garro L. ⚽, Pedro P. (A),
- 80', Carlos Daniel ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
- 80', Fonseca T. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 84', Sousa B. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 84', Pedro P. ↓, Pedrosa C. ↑,
- 90', Teixeira L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marco 09
36.3% | Draw
26.8% | Fafe
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Marco 09 - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.83) |
3.44 ↑
(3.22) |
2.5 ↑
(2.34) |
8.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Marco have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fafe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marco won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Marco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Fafe?
Marco 09 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Marco 09?
Fafe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco 09 - Fafe were as follows:
15.03.2026
Fafe
-
Marco 09
1:1
07.12.2025
Marco 09
-
Fafe
1:1
24.08.2025
Fafe
-
Marco 09
0:0
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
