Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 43', Munoz A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Villafranca 33.8% | Draw 32.6% | Llerenense 33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2%)
Villafranca - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.45) |
2.79 ↓ (3.14) |
2.71 ↑ (2.66) |
10% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1.
- In recent matches, Villafranca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Llerenense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Villafranca won against Llerenense?
Villafranca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Villafranca?
Llerenense has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villafranca - Llerenense were as follows:
05.10.2025
Llerenense
-
Villafranca
0:1
17.04.2025
Villafranca
-
Llerenense
1:4
08.12.2024
Llerenense
-
Villafranca
2:1
19.03.2023
Llerenense
-
Villafranca
1:0
20.11.2022
Villafranca
-
Llerenense
0:2
Latest results of Villafranca
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation