Villafranca vs Diocesano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 🟥,
  • 81', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Villafranca
38.8%
Draw
28.2%
Diocesano
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.5% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.3% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Villafranca - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.17)
    3.2
    (3.19)
    2.74
    (3.07)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villafranca - Diocesano were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Diocesano - Villafranca 0:1
    13.10.2024 Villafranca - Diocesano 2:2
    10.03.2024 Villafranca - Diocesano 3:1
    22.10.2023 Diocesano - Villafranca 2:3
    Latest results of Villafranca
    04.01.2026 Jerez - Villafranca 1:1
    20.12.2025 Don Benito - Villafranca 3:0
    13.12.2025 Villafranca - Santa Amalia 1:2
    07.12.2025 Azuaga - Villafranca 1:1
    23.11.2025 Villafranca - Gévora 2:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    04.01.2026 Diocesano - Don Benito 0:1
    20.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Diocesano 1:0
    14.12.2025 Diocesano - Azuaga 3:1
    07.12.2025 Gévora - Diocesano 0:0
    23.11.2025 Diocesano - Calamonte 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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