Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (156/271) | 65% (249/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (156/271) | 65% (249/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (18/79) | 27% (24/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (46/112) | 41% (51/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Bauress J. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Kabia J. (Pen),
- 53', Brown C. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
- 54', Conneely S. ↓, Love D. ↑,
- 61', Burns D. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Walton T. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
- 71', Love D. 🟨,
- 75', Walton T. 🟨,
- 78', Rawson F. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 84', Walton T. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 84', Madden P. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
- 84', Amaluzor J. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
- 88', Sinclair I. 🟨,
- 90', Henderson A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
28.3% | Draw
29% | Grimsby Town
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.8) |
3.22 ↓
(3.25) |
2.19 ↓
(2.5) |
6.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
- Accrington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grimsby is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Lavelle S.
(Calf Injury)
Svanthorsson J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Henderson A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Grimsby Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town were as follows:
01.01.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Grimsby Town
3:2
03.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Accrington Stanley
5:2
03.02.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
14.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:2
22.11.2022
Grimsby Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:1
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
